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UFC Vegas 106 DFS picks are set for Saturday, May 17, with breakdowns of the top fights on DraftKings and predictions for the key matchups on the card.

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Booked vs Gordon
Moises will fight Jared Gordon at UFC Vegas 106 on May 17, Marcel Dorff of Eurosport.nl reports.
ANALYSIS
Moises has booked his next fight, this time against Jared Gordon. He is coming off a unanimous decision victory over Trey Ogden in January. Moises has a two-inch reach advantage on Gordon and Gordon has not won a fight since November of 2023.
Moises has booked his next fight, this time against Jared Gordon. He is coming off a unanimous decision victory over Trey Ogden in January. Moises has a two-inch reach advantage on Gordon and Gordon has not won a fight since November of 2023.
Gets right back in win column
Moises defeated Trey Ogden via unanimous decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28) at UFC Fight Night on Saturday in Las Vegas.
ANALYSIS
Moises wasn't the least bit competitive his last time out, a unanimous decision defeat to L'udovit Klein last June, so it was nice to see him rebound against Ogden. Moises started slowly, but he made a point of damaging his opponent with low kicks. That paid dividends later, as one big shot dropped Ogden to the mat in Round 2. Moises then caught a lucky break in Round 3 after Ogden landed a takedown, only to lose position and end up on his back. The Brazilian took full advantage of the dominant position to earn the win. Set to turn 30 years of age in late-March, Moises has alternated wins and losses in his last five fights dating back to January 2023.
Moises wasn't the least bit competitive his last time out, a unanimous decision defeat to L'udovit Klein last June, so it was nice to see him rebound against Ogden. Moises started slowly, but he made a point of damaging his opponent with low kicks. That paid dividends later, as one big shot dropped Ogden to the mat in Round 2. Moises then caught a lucky break in Round 3 after Ogden landed a takedown, only to lose position and end up on his back. The Brazilian took full advantage of the dominant position to earn the win. Set to turn 30 years of age in late-March, Moises has alternated wins and losses in his last five fights dating back to January 2023.
Expected to fight in January
Moises is expected to fight Trey Ogden in a lightweight bout scheduled for Jan. 11th, Damon Martin of MMAFighting.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Moises is expected to fight Ogden; however, the location and details of the event are currently unknown. The 29-year-old holds an 18-8-0 record but has lost two of his last three contests. Moises lost his last contest against L'udovit Klein via unanimous decision in June.
Moises is expected to fight Ogden; however, the location and details of the event are currently unknown. The 29-year-old holds an 18-8-0 record but has lost two of his last three contests. Moises lost his last contest against L'udovit Klein via unanimous decision in June.
Not competitive in Louisville loss
Moises lost to L'udovit Klein via unanimous decision (27-30, 27-30, 27-30) at UFC Fight Night on Saturday in Louisville, Kentucky.
ANALYSIS
There's no shame in losing to Klein, who is a capable opponent, but the fact Moises was totally dominated and not the least bit competitive in a pick 'em fight is highly concerning. Thiago got cracked with a high kick early on before getting dropped late in Round 1. He was lucky to survive that flurry, as he was to survive a flurry after getting dropped again late in Round 3. In between, he did next to nothing offensively. Moises has plenty of talent, but a 3-4 record in his past seven fights dating back to July 2021 isn't going to get the job done in a deep lightweight division.
There's no shame in losing to Klein, who is a capable opponent, but the fact Moises was totally dominated and not the least bit competitive in a pick 'em fight is highly concerning. Thiago got cracked with a high kick early on before getting dropped late in Round 1. He was lucky to survive that flurry, as he was to survive a flurry after getting dropped again late in Round 3. In between, he did next to nothing offensively. Moises has plenty of talent, but a 3-4 record in his past seven fights dating back to July 2021 isn't going to get the job done in a deep lightweight division.
Klein fight on tap
Moises is scheduled to compete against L'udovit Klein in a lightweight fight at the UFC's June 8 event set for an undisclosed location, per Marcel Dorff of Eurosport.nl.
ANALYSIS
Both lightweights are scheduled to compete against each other after dominating late-notice replacements for their previous fights. Moises defeated Mitch Ramirez on March 16, just a little over two weeks after the latter took up the fight. Meanwhile, Klein defeated AJ Cunningham, who fought in under a week's notice.
Both lightweights are scheduled to compete against each other after dominating late-notice replacements for their previous fights. Moises defeated Mitch Ramirez on March 16, just a little over two weeks after the latter took up the fight. Meanwhile, Klein defeated AJ Cunningham, who fought in under a week's notice.