2025 Stats
W-L
4-1
ERA
3.48
WHIP
1.35
K
50
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Ober has become a key part of the Minnesota staff after a successful first full season in the rotation. Ober doesn't have an overpowering fastball (91.8 mph average), but it's offset by his outstanding control (6.1% BB%) and deadly change-up (.212 wOBA allowed). About his only knock is that he faded at the end of the season, like his entire team, with a 5.32 ERA in his last four starts. He's had back-to-back seasons of 144 innings or more (178.2 innings) after struggling with injuries earlier in his career. He looks set to be a dependable part of the Minnesota rotation. Read Past Outlooks
Inefficient in Saturday's start
Ober allowed two runs on six hits and a walk while striking out four over four innings in a no-decision versus the Mariners on Saturday.
ANALYSIS
Ober gave up a two-run home run to Cal Raleigh in the third inning to account for the damage on his line. Beyond that, it was simple inefficiency that led to Ober's short start, as he threw 64 of 97 pitches for strikes. That's been a recurring theme during his stretch of five straight no-decisions -- he's completed five innings in just two of those starts. However, he hasn't allowed more than three runs since his season debut. Overall, he has a 3.48 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 50:14 K:BB through 62 innings over 12 starts. The right-hander's next start is projected to be on the road versus the Athletics.
Ober gave up a two-run home run to Cal Raleigh in the third inning to account for the damage on his line. Beyond that, it was simple inefficiency that led to Ober's short start, as he threw 64 of 97 pitches for strikes. That's been a recurring theme during his stretch of five straight no-decisions -- he's completed five innings in just two of those starts. However, he hasn't allowed more than three runs since his season debut. Overall, he has a 3.48 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 50:14 K:BB through 62 innings over 12 starts. The right-hander's next start is projected to be on the road versus the Athletics.
Pitching Stats
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2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
85
Last 10 Games
85
Last 5 Games
84
How many pitches does Bailey Ober generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Bailey Ober generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-7%
BAA vs LHP
2025
Even Split
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023vs Left | .221 | 172 | 37 | 156 | 22 | |||
| Since 2023vs Right | .237 | 215 | 49 | 175 | 34 | |||
| 2025vs Left | .279 | 22 | 5 | 36 | 4 | |||
| 2025vs Right | .279 | 28 | 9 | 34 | 3 | |||
| 2024vs Left | .190 | 87 | 15 | 58 | 12 | |||
| 2024vs Right | .223 | 104 | 28 | 78 | 15 | |||
| 2023vs Left | .228 | 63 | 17 | 62 | 6 | |||
| 2023vs Right | .236 | 83 | 12 | 63 | 16 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-5%
ERA at Home
2025
-50%
ERA at Home
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023Home | 3.59 | 1.12 | 190.1 | 9.0 | 2.1 | ||||
| Since 2023Away | 3.79 | 1.05 | 194.2 | 9.1 | 1.9 | ||||
| 2025Home | 2.32 | 1.26 | 31.0 | 8.1 | 1.5 | ||||
| 2025Away | 4.65 | 1.45 | 31.0 | 6.4 | 2.6 | ||||
| 2024Home | 4.34 | 1.11 | 83.0 | 10.0 | 2.5 | ||||
| 2024Away | 3.67 | 0.91 | 95.2 | 9.3 | 1.9 | ||||
| 2023Home | 3.30 | 1.07 | 76.1 | 8.4 | 2.0 | ||||
| 2023Away | 3.57 | 1.06 | 68.0 | 9.9 | 1.6 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Bailey Ober compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
3.57K/9
7.3BB/9
2.0HR/9
1.0Fastball
90.6 mphERA
3.48WHIP
1.35BABIP
.335GB/FB
0.63Left On Base
79.5%Exit Velocity
82.3 mphBarrels/BBE
5.5%Spin Rate
2121 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
26.0%Swinging Strike
12.7%Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
2022
Ober had a strong season that has him set to be a vital part of Minnesota's 2024 rotation. Ober began the season in the minors as the odd man out in a six-man rotation and got some spot starts in April before joining the rotation in May. He was sent down briefly in August to manage his workload, but finished strong with a 2.08 ERA over his last four starts (though he was hit hard in his lone playoff outing by giving up six runs in a loss). Ober doesn't have an overpowering fastball (91.4 mph average), but it's offset by his outstanding control (5% BB%) and above average off-speed pitches (slider, curve ball, change-up). His changeup became a lethal weapon by allowing just a .268 wOBA and helped lead to an overall 14.5% swinging K%. After throwing 144.1 innings, Ober shouldn't face any limitations on workload after staying healthy after struggling through injuries his first two major league seasons.
More Fantasy News
Logs quality start in no-decision
Ober did not factor into the decision in Sunday's 2-1 extra-inning loss to the Royals, allowing one run on seven hits and one walk with three strikeouts over 6.2 innings.
ANALYSIS
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Start halted by rain
Ober allowed one run on three hits and no walks while striking out three batters over three innings Monday versus Cleveland in a game that was suspended until Tuesday due to inclement weather.
ANALYSIS
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Struggles with control Wednesday
Ober came away with a no-decision in the first game of Wednesday's doubleheader against the Orioles, giving up three runs on two hits and three walks over 4.2 innings. He struck out three.
ANALYSIS
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Goes five innings in no-decision
Ober did not factor into the decision Thursday against the Orioles, allowing two runs (one earned) on eight hits and a walk over five innings. He struck out six.
ANALYSIS
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Fans six in quality start
Ober (4-1) earned the win against the Red Sox on Saturday, allowing one run on seven hits and one walk while striking out six over six innings.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Piggyback role being considered
Ober could operate in a piggyback role with Dallas Keuchel once Joe Ryan returns from his groin injury, per Dan Hayes of The Athletic.
ANALYSIS
The Twins are weighing whether to move to a six-man rotation or use the piggyback strategy once Ryan is back, which could be as early as this weekend. Ober has certainly earned his spot in the rotation with a 3.41 ERA over 118.2 innings this year, but that workload -- plus 17.2 frames at Triple-A -- already represents a career high by nearly 30 innings. Minnesota will likely want to manage the right-hander's workload in some form during the final five-plus weeks of the regular season, though it remains to be seen exactly how the organization chooses to do so.
The Twins are weighing whether to move to a six-man rotation or use the piggyback strategy once Ryan is back, which could be as early as this weekend. Ober has certainly earned his spot in the rotation with a 3.41 ERA over 118.2 innings this year, but that workload -- plus 17.2 frames at Triple-A -- already represents a career high by nearly 30 innings. Minnesota will likely want to manage the right-hander's workload in some form during the final five-plus weeks of the regular season, though it remains to be seen exactly how the organization chooses to do so.